General Mieczysław Ceniuch, former Chief of the General Staff of the Polish Army told RMF FM that Russia’s use of tactical nuclear weapons makes no sense or logic, so he doesn’t think they can be used.
“Especially in a situation where the Western powers, and above all the US, have clearly stated that there will be a reaction. Such a response would be extremely damaging to the Russian Federation. We watched a number of statements, particularly from the Russian foreign minister, who said that Russia never had a plan to use tactical nuclear weapons.
Tomasz Terlikowski asked the general about the New York Times newspaper’s information that the American authorities have intelligence, according to which representatives of the Russian military leadership discussed the possibility of using nuclear weapons in Ukraine.
“It seems to me that these discussions were of an executive nature, that is, the military was very concerned, they discussed how such a decision to use tactical nuclear weapons could be implemented in military structures. It was a kind of executive discussion that had nothing to do with a decision-making discussion. – he emphasized. — What the Russians themselves most often do is to initially suspect everyone around them that they will implement such a scenario. On the other hand, the use of a “dirty bomb” by the Russian side would also make no sense, since the consequences would be zero. I am referring to the military consequences, and establishing the source of the ‘dirty bomb’ will not cause any problems for the international community.”
According to Mechislav Tsenyukh, if Russia repeats the Belarusian scenario in the Kaliningrad region, then a problem will arise for Poland.
“Therefore, it is necessary to build certain safeguards. These will not be security measures like the famous fence on the Polish-Belarusian border, they will be lighter security measures, but here it should be emphasized that on the Russian side such a fence already exists on the Kaliningrad-Polish border, therefore deliberate actions of Russia may contribute to illegal emigration“.
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The expert explains that Russia’s strategic goals are constantly being modified. And in fact the situation on the ground forces us to change the strategic objectives.
“The Russians have repeatedly stated that their strategic goal is to de-Nazify, demilitarize Ukraine, change the government and generally subjugate Ukraine to their interests. They failed. Then the next goals, after the defeat of the first ones, were to seize the entire territory of Luhansk and Donetsk region and be done with it. Today we already know that part of Luhansk and Donetsk regions are in Ukrainian hands. The Russians are adapting their goals to the current situation. And depending on the current situation, they call it a strategic task“.
According to him, “capturing the territory to the right of the Dnieper does not yet cut off Crimea from Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts, as part of Zaporozhye Oblast still remains in the hands of Russia.”
“This will make it difficult for them to communicate between Crimea and the mainland of the Russian Federation due to the fact that the entire territory up to the Sea of Azov will now be under the fire control of the Ukrainian army. That is why Kherson and that part of Kherson region, which is located on the right bank of the Dnieper, is so important“. — said General Tsenyukh.
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He believes that it is here that Russia has gathered the best military units.
“This group is the most equipped and quite numerous, as there are more than 20 thousand military personnel. Consequently, Ukraine’s progress on this front has been slow. In addition, it seems to me that Ukraine is in no hurry, because it is powerful enough to control the river and complicate logistics, communication across the river, and this large Russian group will find itself in a difficult situation..
We will remind you of the interview given to “FACTS” by retired FSB colonel Gennady Gudkov “Putin’s repressive machine is already eating itself.”
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